Client intel engine
AUC ranking · P(book) from every pipe · collect the next field
Desk AUC—Mark won / lost to score the ranker
Expected book$852kΣ P(book) × stay value
Above threshold21Chase ≥ 55%
Clients scored21Live guests, no demo set
ROC · rank across every cutoff
The classifier emits a probability. AUC does not pick a cutoff — it asks whether a random won stay ranks above a random lost one. Slide the operating point for who the desk chases. High AUC does not excuse a bad threshold.
0.50
AUC · 1.0 perfect · 0.5 chance
Marco Causarano
Highest ranked live client · expected $168k
96%P(book)
- Occasion100
- Dates locked100
- VIP100
- Mined facts100
- Villa preference100
- Desk intent71
- Profile fill50
Chase ≥ 55%
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